US/UK: The gypsum market is forecast to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.9% to reach approximately US$2.4bn by 2018, and US$3.8bn by 2023, according to a new report by analysts Smithers Apex. 'The Future of Gypsum: Market Forecasts to 2023' reports that 252Mt of gypsum is expected to be consumed in the year 2013, with 31.9% and 62.5% being consumed in the plasterboard and cement industries respectively.
The market study reports that about 75% of gypsum is used in wallboard manufacture in the US and Western Europe. Outside of these regions, Smithers Apex reports that one of the major factors driving gypsum consumption is population growth, particularly in India and China, as developing countries move from traditional wet construction techniques towards dry construction using materials such as prefabricated wallboard. Countries such as China are also encouraging wallboard usage through government policies.
The report also describes how a large portion of the world's gypsum is produced from a very large number of small operations in developing countries. For example, there are as many as 400 mines in Iran and probably more in China. The US ranks fifth globally in raw gypsum production after China, Iran, Iraq and Spain. US crude gypsum production in 2012 grew by 11% to 10.4Mt. In 2012, 10.7Mt of this gypsum was synthetic, and 11Mt was calcined gypsum.
The global financial crisis saw demand for gypsum drop in the construction industry by around 20% in 2008. The decline slowed between 2002 and 2010 and stabilised in 2011. The US and other parts of the world saw a strong recovery period in 2012. The most likely path forward for the US construction industry will be a relatively steady one, that features moderate recovery through 2013 and accelerates in 2014 and beyond.
